Showing posts with label Elections 2012 presidential. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elections 2012 presidential. Show all posts

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Deja vu for New Hampshire polls? - The Washington Post: "By Jon Cohen



A “fiasco,” one analyst called it. Another observer called it a “snafu.”

In short, the pre-election polls before the New Hampshire primary in 2008 were a disaster. The numbers had anticipated a clear result: It would be a second, major win for then-Sen. Barack Obama over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, who had been the overwhelming favorite for the Democratic nomination."


Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire, the Republican Party and The King of Hearts


A repristic shibboleth of sorts. I’m just saying…

January 11, 2012

The King of Hearts

Kevin E. Dayhoff

It is fairly well accepted among keen observers of national politics that the Iowa caucuses of Tuesday a week ago are much more about political and media-theater than a prognosticator of who will vie for the Oval Office this fall.

As one political pundit put it, you pick corn in Iowa; you pick the next president in New Hampshire. Maybe so – maybe not. I’d rather look at Iowa as a political combine – a soulless machine that separates the wheat from the chaff.

Above and beyond the not-too-small matter that the January 3rd caucus is a win-win moneymaking machine for Iowa, the political opera is otherwise literally, repristically, heuristically, and metaphorically a brutal threshing and winnowing process.

First the candidates are milled and pounded and then thrown in the air. The chaff – the lightweights and the also-rans – are then ground into dust and blown off to the side to be plowed back into the earth.

Yet Iowa in 2008 was an anomaly of sorts. In the January 3, 2008, Democratic Party caucuses… http://www.thetentacle.com/ShowArticle.cfm?mydocid=4852


Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Iowa caucuses reveal media lapses - By MARTIN SCHRAM Scripps Howard News Service

COMMENTARY

Iowa caucuses reveal media lapses

By MARTIN SCHRAM Scripps Howard News Service


Monday, January 9, 2012

Iowa's 2012 Republican caucuses gave us either two winners or no winners at all, as in Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum virtually tied and Ron Paul finished just a whisker behind them.

And in the only total that really matters, but was little mentioned, all three received seven of Iowa's Republican convention delegates.

But America's inexplicably traditional first voting told us something important, not really about those running for president but about those of us who cover them: When we don't really report, you can't really decide.

First, recall the wall-to-wall news coverage of Iowa's meaningless (except for political party money-making) Republican straw poll last August.

As all the pols and their handlers learned decades ago, you can win it by spending more money to bus in and feed more of your own people who will vote for you. Last August, Michele Bachmann won.

Tuesday night, she finished last among Iowa's real caucus combatants.

Second, we turn to what Americans most need from the news media: our journalistic skill and determination to go far beyond what the candidates are emphasizing to make the sale with voters.

At least by examining their past deeds as deeply as we covered that meaningless straw poll.



[20120109 Scripts Schram Iowa caucuses reveal media lapses]

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